2026-27 NBA season

NBA Game Simulations

Every morning two games are played 5,000 times each - from every player's numbers, today's injury report, tempo, defense, rest and home court - and updated about an hour before tip-off. Here is every simulation and how it turned out.

Scores hit4 of 14both teams within 5 points (29%)

Score error8.1points per team, on average

Margin error6.4points, on average

Total points error13.7points, on average

Brier score0.208lower is better (0.25 = coin flip)

Date	Game	Pick	Predicted score	Final	Result
Oct 27	Trail Blazers @ Lakers	LAL 63%	112-119	-	upcoming
Oct 27	Kings @ Spurs	SA 87%	111-123	-	upcoming
Oct 27	Pistons @ Knicks	NY 62%	105-108	-	upcoming
Oct 27	Nets @ Celtics	BOS 80%	97-109	-	upcoming
Oct 26	Warriors @ Nuggets	DEN 80%	114-126	134-114	Off by 16.0
Oct 26	Grizzlies @ Jazz	MEM 65%	122-118	110-105	Off by 12.5
Oct 26	Hawks @ Rockets	HOU 66%	108-113	110-120	Off by 4.5
Oct 25	Pistons @ 76ers	DET 66%	113-105	106-93	Off by 9.5
Oct 25	Lakers @ Jazz	LAL 73%	131-119	132-123	Hit
Oct 24	Rockets @ Hawks	HOU 56%	109-103	121-114	Off by 11.5
Oct 24	Bucks @ 76ers	PHI 56%	109-112	116-127	Off by 11.0
Oct 24	Heat @ Hornets	CHA 58%	106-113	110-115	Hit
Oct 23	Trail Blazers @ Kings	POR 70%	121-108	128-120	Off by 9.5
Oct 23	Grizzlies @ Warriors	MEM 59%	116-109	111-108	Hit
Oct 23	Clippers @ Lakers	LAL 72%	104-120	117-125	Off by 9.0
Oct 23	Pelicans @ Jazz	NO 63%	129-125	119-120	Off by 7.5
Oct 23	Pistons @ Heat	DET 67%	124-115	128-111	Hit
Oct 23	Bulls @ Bucks	MIL 66%	115-121	132-125	Off by 10.5

A simulation counts as a hit only when its predicted score is within 5 points of the final for both teams - picking the winner alone does not count. For fun and fantasy decisions - not betting advice.