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October 23, 2026 · Kaseya Center

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat · October 23, 2026

The Detroit Pistons beat the Miami Heat 128-111 on Friday, October 23, 2026 on the road. John Collins led the Pistons with 23 points. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the Heat with 36 points and 12 rebounds. The Pistons are 2-0 and the Heat 0-2.

Team1234T
DET41243825128
MIA26272731111

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Shot charts

Pistons · 47/89 FG

Q1 11:16 · John Collins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Ausar Thompson assists) Q1 10:26 · Davion Mitchell blocks John Collins 's 13-foot jumper Q1 8:46 · John Collins makes 25-foot three point jumper (Duncan Robinson assists) Q1 7:33 · John Collins makes 15-foot jumper (Ausar Thompson assists) Q1 6:02 · John Collins makes 25-foot three point jumper (Cade Cunningham assists) Q1 4:38 · Davion Mitchell blocks John Collins 's 4-foot driving layup Q1 3:47 · John Collins misses 24-foot running jump shot Q2 10:45 · John Collins makes tip shot Q2 9:55 · John Collins misses 18-foot pullup jump shot Q2 2:01 · John Collins misses layup Q3 11:38 · John Collins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Paul Reed assists) Q3 6:41 · John Collins misses two point shot Q3 5:45 · John Collins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kevin Huerter assists) Q4 7:21 · John Collins makes layup (Cade Cunningham assists) Q4 5:31 · John Collins makes 2-foot driving dunk (Daniss Jenkins assists) Q1 11:04 · Duncan Robinson makes 25-foot running pullup jump shot Q1 10:20 · Duncan Robinson makes 23-foot three point jumper (Cade Cunningham assists) Q1 6:58 · Duncan Robinson misses 24-foot three point jumper Q1 5:38 · Duncan Robinson misses 14-foot pullup jump shot Q2 6:30 · Duncan Robinson misses 25-foot three point jumper Q2 5:05 · Duncan Robinson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ronald Holland II assists) Q2 4:21 · Duncan Robinson misses two point shot Q2 11.5 · Duncan Robinson makes 26-foot three pointer (Daniss Jenkins assists) Q3 9:20 · Duncan Robinson makes 26-foot running jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists) Q3 7:55 · Duncan Robinson misses 24-foot three point jumper Q4 4:38 · Duncan Robinson misses 25-foot three point jumper Q4 3:52 · Duncan Robinson misses 26-foot three point jumper Q1 9:49 · Jalen Duren makes 4-foot dunk (Cade Cunningham assists) Q1 8:19 · Jalen Duren makes 5-foot alley oop dunk (Cade Cunningham assists) Q1 2:35 · Nikola Jovic blocks Jalen Duren 's 5-foot layup Q1 1:50 · Jalen Duren misses 8-foot fade away jump shot Q1 9:21 · Cade Cunningham makes 24-foot three pointer (Jalen Duren assists) Q2 1:10 · Cade Cunningham makes 12-foot step back jumpshot Q3 8:31 · Cade Cunningham misses 13-foot fade away jump shot Q3 8:15 · Cade Cunningham makes 3-foot alley oop dunk (Paul Reed assists) Q3 7:29 · Cade Cunningham misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot Q3 7:11 · Cade Cunningham makes 11-foot two point shot (Duncan Robinson assists) Q4 9:21 · Cade Cunningham misses driving floating jump shot Q4 6:48 · Cade Cunningham makes 24-foot three pointer Q1 6:18 · Paul Reed makes driving layup Q1 4:05 · Paul Reed makes 7-foot two point shot (Isaiah Joe assists) Q2 5:23 · Paul Reed misses 6-foot two point shot Q2 2:28 · Paul Reed makes layup (Ronald Holland II assists) Q3 10:14 · Paul Reed makes 26-foot three point jumper (Ausar Thompson assists) Q3 9:45 · Paul Reed makes 13-foot fade away jump shot (Ausar Thompson assists) Q3 2:37 · Paul Reed makes 12-foot two point shot Q3 1:43 · Paul Reed misses 12-foot two point shot Q3 0.7 · Paul Reed makes 14-foot jumper (Daniss Jenkins assists) Q4 10:22 · Paul Reed makes 24-foot three point jumper (Cade Cunningham assists) Q4 2:15 · Paul Reed misses 15-foot fade away jump shot Q1 3:40 · Isaiah Joe misses 25-foot three point jumper Q1 3:15 · Isaiah Joe makes 24-foot three point jumper (Cade Cunningham assists) Q1 2:58 · Isaiah Joe misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot Q1 1:20 · Isaiah Joe misses 24-foot three point jumper Q3 4:18 · Isaiah Joe misses 25-foot running jump shot Q3 3:32 · Isaiah Joe makes 19-foot step back jumpshot Q3 3:14 · Isaiah Joe makes two point shot (Ronald Holland II assists) Q4 10:38 · Isaiah Joe misses 24-foot three point jumper Q4 1:17 · Isaiah Joe makes 14-foot running jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists) Q1 2:32 · Daniss Jenkins makes 18-foot pullup jump shot (Jalen Duren assists) Q1 4.0 · Daniss Jenkins makes driving layup Q3 5:14 · Daniss Jenkins makes 4-foot two point shot (Ronald Holland II assists) Q3 4:58 · Daniss Jenkins makes 2-foot driving dunk Q3 2:54 · Daniss Jenkins misses 17-foot pullup jump shot Q3 41.1 · Daniss Jenkins misses 12-foot pullup jump shot Q4 3:43 · Daniss Jenkins misses 25-foot three point jumper Q4 3:15 · Daniss Jenkins makes 25-foot three point jumper (Paul Reed assists) Q1 1:13 · Kevin Huerter misses 24-foot three point jumper Q1 1:06 · Kevin Huerter makes 25-foot three point jumper (Daniss Jenkins assists) Q1 36.9 · Kevin Huerter misses 26-foot three point jumper Q2 10:49 · Kevin Huerter misses running pullup jump shot Q2 9:17 · Kevin Huerter misses 24-foot three point jumper Q4 9:34 · Kevin Huerter misses 24-foot three point jumper Q4 7:58 · Kevin Huerter makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot Q1 31.3 · Ronald Holland II makes layup (Jalen Duren assists) Q2 5:23 · Ronald Holland II misses layup Q2 5:17 · Giannis Antetokounmpo blocks Ronald Holland II 's 5-foot layup Q2 4:05 · Ronald Holland II makes running layup Q2 3:04 · Ronald Holland II misses two point shot Q3 2:12 · Ronald Holland II makes 4-foot running dunk Q2 10:20 · Ausar Thompson misses two point shot Q2 9:23 · Ausar Thompson misses 23-foot three point jumper Q2 8:51 · Ausar Thompson makes 6-foot alley oop dunk (John Collins assists) Q3 11:05 · Ausar Thompson makes running layup Q3 8:42 · Ausar Thompson misses 10-foot fade away jump shot Q2 6:07 · Javonte Green misses 25-foot three point jumper Q2 3:32 · Javonte Green makes 25-foot three point jumper (Paul Reed assists) Q4 6:01 · Javonte Green makes 20-foot fade away jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists) Q4 46.0 · Myron Gardner blocks Javonte Green 's 23-foot three point jumper
Paint17/2763%Mid-range12/2450%3PT18/3847%

Heat · 39/103 FG

Q1 11:43 · Klay Thompson misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot Q1 6:51 · Klay Thompson misses running pullup jump shot Q1 5:30 · Klay Thompson misses 23-foot running jump shot Q2 5:51 · Klay Thompson misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot Q2 1:44 · Klay Thompson misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot Q3 9:25 · Klay Thompson misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot Q3 8:07 · Klay Thompson makes 22-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists) Q3 5:34 · Klay Thompson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Bam Adebayo assists) Q3 4:25 · Klay Thompson misses 25-foot three point jumper Q3 4:05 · Klay Thompson misses 24-foot three point jumper Q3 3:59 · Klay Thompson misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot Q1 11:31 · Bam Adebayo misses 25-foot three point jumper Q3 6:00 · Bam Adebayo makes 10-foot running jump shot Q3 4:03 · Bam Adebayo misses 2-foot tip shot Q4 11:19 · Bam Adebayo makes 12-foot driving floating jump shot (Dru Smith assists) Q4 10:07 · Bam Adebayo misses 11-foot fade away jump shot Q4 9:47 · Bam Adebayo misses 22-foot three point jumper Q1 10:50 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses driving layup Q1 9:40 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists) Q1 8:05 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 16-foot two point shot Q1 6:41 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes driving layup Q1 6:11 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses driving layup Q1 3:54 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point shot Q2 7:22 · Jalen Duren blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo 's 4-foot driving layup Q2 6:20 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 18-foot pullup jump shot Q2 5:40 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 2-foot dunk Q2 4:48 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 13-foot two point shot Q2 3:21 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 4-foot driving dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists) Q3 10:49 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 7-foot two point shot Q3 10:30 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point shot Q3 9:54 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 25-foot three point jumper Q3 9:07 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 4-foot driving dunk Q3 7:01 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 2-foot dunk (Bam Adebayo assists) Q3 4:49 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 2-foot driving dunk Q3 3:48 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes tip in dunk Q3 2:04 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 25-foot three point jumper Q3 1:02 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 17-foot step back jumpshot Q3 22.1 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 15-foot pullup jump shot Q4 9:05 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tim Hardaway Jr. assists) Q4 7:35 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point shot Q4 5:06 · Giannis Antetokounmpo misses 16-foot two point shot Q4 4:37 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes running layup (Bam Adebayo assists) Q4 4:12 · Giannis Antetokounmpo makes tip shot Q1 10:44 · Davion Mitchell misses 26-foot three point jumper Q1 9:59 · Davion Mitchell misses 23-foot three point jumper Q1 8:33 · Davion Mitchell makes 25-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists) Q1 7:20 · Davion Mitchell makes 23-foot three point jumper (Andrew Wiggins assists) Q1 6:41 · Davion Mitchell misses 26-foot three point jumper Q1 4:59 · Davion Mitchell makes running layup (Klay Thompson assists) Q1 0.6 · Davion Mitchell misses 34-foot three point pullup jump shot Q2 10:14 · Davion Mitchell misses 24-foot three point jumper Q2 4:12 · Davion Mitchell misses 24-foot three point jumper Q2 57.6 · Davion Mitchell makes driving layup (Bobby Portis assists) Q2 29.5 · Davion Mitchell makes 3-foot two point shot Q3 6:15 · Davion Mitchell misses two point shot Q4 5:45 · Davion Mitchell makes 26-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists) Q4 4:15 · Davion Mitchell misses driving layup Q1 9:57 · Andrew Wiggins misses 2-foot tip shot Q1 8:58 · Andrew Wiggins misses 26-foot three point jumper Q1 7:44 · Andrew Wiggins misses 26-foot three point jumper Q1 6:42 · Cade Cunningham blocks Andrew Wiggins 's 6-foot two point shot Q2 6:45 · Andrew Wiggins makes two point shot (Klay Thompson assists) Q2 5:58 · Andrew Wiggins misses 26-foot running jump shot Q2 2:54 · Andrew Wiggins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists) Q2 1:53 · Andrew Wiggins misses 22-foot three point jumper Q3 11:15 · Andrew Wiggins misses 15-foot step back jumpshot Q3 7:42 · Andrew Wiggins misses 27-foot three point jumper Q3 7:22 · Ausar Thompson blocks Andrew Wiggins 's 5-foot running dunk Q3 6:37 · Andrew Wiggins makes two point shot (Davion Mitchell assists) Q1 4:26 · Tim Hardaway Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists) Q1 3:33 · Tim Hardaway Jr. misses 23-foot running jump shot Q2 11:34 · Tim Hardaway Jr. misses driving floating jump shot Q2 9:44 · Tim Hardaway Jr. misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot Q3 1:36 · Tim Hardaway Jr. misses 25-foot running jump shot Q3 0.3 · Tim Hardaway Jr. misses heave jump shot Q4 11:43 · Tim Hardaway Jr. makes 26-foot three pointer Q4 7:08 · Tim Hardaway Jr. misses driving layup Q1 49.4 · Bobby Portis makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists) Q1 16.4 · Bobby Portis makes 22-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists) Q2 11:26 · Bobby Portis makes 25-foot three point jumper (Davion Mitchell assists) Q2 10:56 · Bobby Portis misses running pullup jump shot Q2 8:38 · Bobby Portis misses two point shot Q2 8:35 · Bobby Portis misses tip shot Q2 2:13 · Bobby Portis misses 13-foot two point shot Q4 9:13 · Bobby Portis misses 24-foot running jump shot Q4 8:28 · Bobby Portis makes 25-foot three pointer (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists) Q4 7:39 · Bobby Portis misses 26-foot three point jumper Q2 10:11 · Nikola Jovic makes tip shot Q2 8:02 · Pelle Larsson misses 24-foot three point jumper Q2 3:49 · Javonte Green blocks Pelle Larsson 's 24-foot three point jumper Q2 1:34 · Pelle Larsson makes 24-foot three pointer (Bobby Portis assists) Q2 0.7 · Pelle Larsson misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot Q3 3:22 · Kevin Huerter blocks Pelle Larsson 's 7-foot driving layup Q3 2:17 · Pelle Larsson misses two point shot Q4 10:31 · Cade Cunningham blocks Pelle Larsson 's 4-foot running layup Q4 10:50 · Dru Smith makes 24-foot three pointer Q4 8:07 · Cade Cunningham blocks Dru Smith 's 6-foot running layup Q4 1:39 · Ryan Conwell misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot Q4 1:07 · Ryan Conwell makes layup (Nick Richards assists) Q4 1:31 · Simone Fontecchio misses 24-foot three point jumper Q4 1:27 · Simone Fontecchio misses 16-foot fade away jump shot Q4 37.1 · Simone Fontecchio misses 25-foot running jump shot Q4 2.5 · Nick Richards makes 25-foot three point jumper (Nikola Jovic assists)
Paint19/3653%Mid-range5/1533%3PT15/5229%

Green = made, red × = missed. Free throws are not shown.

Detroit Pistons box score

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFTPF+/-FP
Cade Cunningham › 301628137 5-82-34-65+912.7
John Collins › 292371001 9-155-60-03+1515.3
Duncan Robinson › 281712201 5-125-102-23+2211.9
Paul Reed › 2619113000 8-112-21-12+419.9
Ronald Holland II › 22854100 3-60-02-20+411.2
Daniss Jenkins › 221555103 5-81-24-52+1412.8
Kevin Huerter › 20562112 2-71-50-06-14.7
Ausar Thompson › 19435113 2-50-10-02+144.5
Isaiah Joe › 181231001 4-91-63-41-85.5
Javonte Green › 13530010 2-41-30-00+35.3
Jalen Duren › 10463111 2-40-00-00+128.6
Tolu Smith 2010000 0-00-00-00-30.6
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Miami Heat box score

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOFG3PTFTPF+/-FP
Giannis Antetokounmpo › 3336125213 15-261-35-83-2326.0
Davion Mitchell › 331825021 6-143-93-54-2412.8
Pelle Larsson › 29721101 1-71-44-4203.4
Andrew Wiggins › 26882101 3-121-61-11-194.5
Klay Thompson › 24622000 2-112-110-02-19-0.5
Bam Adebayo › 23463201 2-60-20-26-225.8
Bobby Portis › 211182100 4-103-60-00+611.2
Tim Hardaway Jr. › 21841003 2-72-52-4100.0
Nikola Jovic › 13541110 1-10-03-41+110.4
Dru Smith › 6301001 1-21-10-02+70.8
Simone Fontecchio › 3010000 0-30-20-01+2-2.1
Myron Gardner 3000011 0-00-00-00+20.1
Nick Richards › 3301000 1-11-10-00+23.2
Ryan Conwell 3200000 1-20-10-00+20.4
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5,000 simulations

We played Pistons @ Heat 5,000 times

Model record: 4 of 14 final scores hit within 5 points · off by 8.1 pts per team on average · all simulations

Every simulation draws who plays (today's injury report), minutes, pace, every shot, rebound, assist, steal, block and turnover from each player's 2025-26 and 2026-27 numbers - adjusted for each team's tempo and defense, rebounding and rim protection, rest days, hot and cold shooting nights and home court (bigger in Denver and Utah). Updated about an hour before tip-off with the latest injury report.

Called it. The simulations gave the Pistons a 67% chance. Final: DET 128 - 111 MIA (most typical simulated game: 124-115).
DET67%
33%MIA
Most typical game124 - 115DET - MIA
Within 5 points21%overtime 2.1%
Top scorerGiannis Antetokounmpoin 49% of games
DET pace average allows 109.8 ppg (tough D) rested 50% of rebounds rim protection
MIA pace fast allows 119.3 ppg (leaky D) 50% of rebounds

Final margin · share of the 5,000 games

DET 26+
DET 21-25
DET 16-20
DET 11-15
DET 6-10
DET 1-5
MIA 1-5
MIA 6-10
MIA 11-15
MIA 16-20
MIA 21-25
MIA 26+

Watch the most typical game · DET 124 - 115 MIA

DET0
Q1 12:00
0MIA
DET attacks left · MIA attacks right

Player stats in the most typical game

DETMINPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFG
Cade Cunningham 37295821312-21
Jalen Duren 29201111008-13
John Collins 2812111114-8
Duncan Robinson 2712430033-6
Ausar Thompson 2611540204-8
Isaiah Joe 2311400024-8
Kevin Huerter 1812511134-7
Elijah Harkless 186101002-4
Daniss Jenkins 175320011-6
Taurean Prince 166100012-5
MIAMINPTSREBASTSTLBLK3PMFG
Andrew Wiggins 3310321414-12
Bam Adebayo 3112831014-12
Giannis Antetokounmpo 31261231009-17
Davion Mitchell 299250014-8
Tim Hardaway Jr. 2712120024-10
Bobby Portis 2719600038-10
Pelle Larsson 2610510004-7
Klay Thompson 2313100044-9
Nikola Jovic 114100011-1

Simulated 2026-10-24 from ESPN stats and injury report. For fun and fantasy decisions - not betting advice.

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